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Second-hand bias

... ["Phlogiston"] -> [Fire hot and bright] It feels like an explanation. It's represented using the same cognitive data format. But the human mind does not automatically detect when a cause has an unconstraining arrow to its effect. Worse, thanks to hindsight bias, it may feel like the cause constrains the effect, when it was merely fitted to the effect. [...] So what went wrong in phlogiston ...

Tags: rationality

   
http://xuenay.livejournal.com/302229.html      (Cached)   0 links
Published: 1 year, 6 months ago (Sun, 23 Dec 2007 18:15:19 PST); 8777 bytes
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