I've just convinced myself that both Frequentism and Likelihood inference are wrong, and Bayesianism is right. This is deeply disconcerting, because every time I've read a pro-Bayesian article (that is, twice) I found it irritating. I don't want to be told what I, as a researcher, "really want to know". I don't think my hunch about the prior probability of a hypothesis means anything, and the...

Statistics

... Gerry Sussman would write a book titled "Structure and Interpretation of Mathematical Statistics". After dinner, there were some very entertaining speeches. Paraphrasing Bill Eddy: "In 1979, I predicted that the religion of Bayesianism would die by the end of the century. It would die not the death of Sodom and Gomorrah, smitten by God, but rather the death of disuse. I'm now pleased to say ...